No Trump – you are not “number one with Hispanics” in Nevada

*The fascinating, yet scary thing about elections is how an adept candidate can conjure alternate realities that voters who don’t know better easily accept as truth. So no, Trump didn’t win Latinos in Nevada and here’s a well-reasoned explanation about what really happened. VL


By David Damore, Latino Decisions

Donald Trump won the Republican Nevada caucuses and in his victory speech Tuesday night he bragged about winning “the Hispanics” as he likes to say. He told his crowd of supporters “And you know what I’m really happy about? Number 1 with Hispanics!”  However there are five very important points that have gotten lost in the media reporting of the Nevada entrance polls.

1. We are only talking about the very small percent of Nevada Latinos who are Republican today. An overwhelming majority of Nevada Latinos are Democrats. In a recent poll asking about party identification, 55% of Latinos said they were Democrats, 29% said Independents and just 16% said they were Republicans.  Assuming the entrance poll is correct (a very big assumption) and Trump won 44% of Latino Republicans, that means he was supported by about 7% of Latinos in Nevada (44% of 16 = 7.04).  What that mean is that most likely, 93% of Latinos in Nevada did not vote for Trump.

Click HERE to read the full story.


[Chart courtesy of Latino Decisions]

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